Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis

Recent Publications and Bulletins

Niagara Region Growth Scenario Analysis, 2018 to 2041

As a follow-on study to the data analysis project relating to Niagara Region's Affordable Housing Strategy, this study provided forecasts of Niagara Region’s future housing stock and population characteristics up to the year 2041 under different growth scenarios. The baseline growth rate was set as the average completion rate over the last five years in Niagara Region, and a slow growth and target growth scenario were developed in collaboration with Niagara Region (the target growth scenario is aligned to Niagara Region’s target population under Places to Grow).

The Impact of Varying Information in the Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Market

Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) are secured by mortgages that qualify under the National Housing Act (NHA) and the Canadian Mortgage Bond (CMB) programs. Over a third of the outstanding mortgage debt is securitized, almost all of which through public securitization programs reaching over $496 billion in 2019. Public securitization does not have credit risk beyond that of the government, as they are all insured by the government.

Opportunities and Risks for Distilled Spirits Manufacturing in Ontario

Distilled spirits manufacturing in Ontario provides significant economic, employment and fiscal benefits to the province. Sales in Ontario support an estimated 30% of the production of distilled spirits locally. Consequently, major changes in the local demand for distilled spirits will impact the margins that local producers earn and thus their fiscal capacity to reinvest in their business.

Calculating the Social Return on Investment for Affordable Housing

The benefits of affordable housing extend beyond the number of units built or households housed; they can include impacts on residents’ health, employment, and access to community amenities. The benefits can contribute to GDP, and have broad social implications for Canada.

Economic Contribution of the Canada Child Benefit: A Basic Income Guarantee for Canadian Families with Children

Since 2016, about $71 billion has been disbursed to the families of over 6.4 million children in Canada through the Canada Child Benefit (CCB), which acts as a basic income guarantee for families with children. The objective of this research is to measure the economic contribution of the CCB to the Canadian economy since 2016. Impacts that are considered include the effect on families and their incomes, as well as the economic contributions in terms of economic indicators such as GDP, employment and government

Economic Contributions of Distilled Spirits Manufacturing in Ontario

Ontario’s distillery industry is composed of vertically integrated “grain-to-bottle” manufacturers who source locally grown cereal grains which are then mashed, fermented, distilled and matured on site. The resulting products, distilled spirits, count among the highest value-added goods within the agricultural and processed agri-food sectors. Distilled spirits manufacturers generate economic activity and employment, particularly in rural, agricultural regions.

2019 Infrastructure Update Bulletin

After Ontario’s latest budget announcement, it is an important time to assess whether the proposed level of infrastructure investment sets Ontario on track for long-term economic growth. Historically, investments into Ontario’s public infrastructure have been significantly lower than the growth-maximizing target levels suggested by CANCEA’s 2010 econometric analysis.

Economic Impacts of Highway 407 ETR

Highway 407 ETR is a route that provides drivers in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA) with a congestion-free alternative for East-West travel for a toll. Operated by 407 ETR since 1999, it provides transportation across the leading region for job creation in Ontario, contributing to better connectivity and improved flow of people and goods.

Toronto Housing Market Analysis

This report tracks 24 key housing indicators that provide insight into Toronto’s housing market and the considerable housing challenges that residents face under current and projected conditions. Toronto is projected to experience accelerated population growth over the next 20 years, and vulnerable groups as well as low- and moderate-income households will experience increased difficulty accessing suitable and affordable housing.

The GTHA's Unbalanced Housing Stock - Benchmarking Ontario's New LPAT System

Currently, the mix of housing supply in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA) is insufficient to meet the future requirements envisioned in the Places to Grow (P2G) Act. More control has been given to municipal governments through the new Local Planning Appeal Tribunal (LPAT) to plan Ontario’s communities.