Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis

Recent Publications and Bulletins

Advantages of CANCEA's Linked Data

Agent-based modeling provides a framework for modeling a dynamic socioeconomic system by means of individual agents (e.g., households, businesses, governments), their mutual interactions, and their environment. Prosperity at Risk (PaR) is CANCEA’s award-winning, agent-based computer simulation platform that incorporates social, health, economic, financial, and infrastructure factors in an agent-based system. PaR simulates the interactions of more than 40 million virtual agents and generates linked data.

Overview of CANCEA's Approach

For more information on the structure of CANCEA's Prosperity at Risk platform, see the attached document.

Fiscal Federalism Study

The objective of this analysis was to assess claims that Canada's set of fiscal arrangements creates inequities, i.e. that the federal government is taking 'too much' out of the economies of some provinces and territories, particularly Ontario.

The attached document presents:

  • The implementation of CANCEA's systems approach
  • High-level results of extensive quantitative analysis
  • The implications of these results

Bibliography of CANCEA's COVID-19 Analysis and Database

This document contains a list of sources for the data inputs for CANCEA's Prosperity at Risk simulation platform and a list of projects that have made use of the platform.

Navigating the COVID-19 Socio-economic Shock

How infrastructure investments will facilitate future growth in Ontario

View a short video summarizing the report's main findings here.

OMERS and its Members: Ontario Economic Contribution

With almost half a million active and retired members, OMERS is one of the largest defined benefit pension plans in Canada. The pension plan contributions of members and employers are invested around the world by OMERS to provide each member with a stable and secure source of retirement income. OMERS investments are found across the globe and in most communities in Ontario. All across the province, Ontarians benefit from the economic activity generated by these investments and by the activities of OMERS pension recipients.

Transportation Pressures in the GTHA

As the leading region for job creation in Ontario over the past decade and home to over half of the provincial population, the GTHA’s prosperity is closely linked to that of Canada. At the heart of the region is the Toronto metropolitan area, which alone generates 52% of Ontario’s GDP. Between 2006 and 2016, the population in the region has grown by 14% and the number of jobs has grown by almost 10%. By 2041, the population is expected to grow by a further 41% to over 10.1 million.

Fort Erie Housing Needs Study

This housing needs study was conducted to provide the Town of Fort Erie with a data-driven basis upon which specific local housing priorities can be developed. Working closely with the Town of Fort Erie, CANCEA provided a database, conducted local stakeholder consultations and delivered a final housing needs report which delivers insight into Fort Erie’s demographic trends and local housing market conditions.

Niagara Region Growth Scenario Analysis, 2018 to 2041

As a follow-on study to the data analysis project relating to Niagara Region's Affordable Housing Strategy, this study provided forecasts of Niagara Region’s future housing stock and population characteristics up to the year 2041 under different growth scenarios. The baseline growth rate was set as the average completion rate over the last five years in Niagara Region, and a slow growth and target growth scenario were developed in collaboration with Niagara Region (the target growth scenario is aligned to Niagara Region’s target population under Places to Grow).

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