Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis

Recent Publications and Bulletins

The Economic Value of Surety Bonding in Canada

The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of construction surety bonds on the overall economy across Canada. CANCEA reviewed more than 150,000 bonded projects completed over the last 20 years by more than 10,000 construction firms in order to examine the economic ripple effect of more than 3,000 contractor defaults and analyze the impact that surety protection. The findings confirm the value proposition of public sector bonding to taxpayers by way of strengthening the broader economy and bringing stability and certainty to the public construction process.

Canadian Franchise Industry Economic Outlook 2018

The purpose of this study was to provide an economic forecast for the Canadian Franchise Industry for 2018 covering the growth in the number of franchise establishments as well as franchise-related economic indicators, such as gross domestic product (GDP), employment (number of jobs and full-time equivalents), and tax revenue generated by franchises. The study also explores the employment policy changes that have been (and will be) introduced in Alberta, British Columbia, Quebec, and Ontario.

Modelling the INSPIRED COPD Outreach Program™

The INSPIRED Approaches to COPD: Improving Care and Creating Value Collaborative (INSPIRED) is a CFHI partnership with Boehringer Ingelheim Canada ltd. focused on educating patients and family members as part of a COPD action plan and self-management support program. As well, the collaboration provides reliable access to out-of-hospital (or post-discharge) clinical assessment and advice. The purpose of this analysis was to provide an independent evaluation of the potential net benefit and cost-effectiveness of CFHI’s pan-Canadian expansion of INSPIRED-Halifax.

Risk Implications for the Niagara-on-the-Lake Accommodation/Food Businesses

The recently passed Bill 148: Fair Workplaces, Better Jobs Act, 2017 (the Act) represents a package of sudden and significant changes for Ontario businesses to digest over the next few years. Sectors such as accommodation and food are expected to be more affected by the labour changes given their lower gross operating margins and high proportion of minimum wage paying labour costs.

The Strategic Value of the Hamilton Harbour Stelco Lands: A Socio-economic Investigation

The objective of this study was to find an evidence-based and realistic understanding of the socio-economic value of the 329 hectares (813 acres) of industrial land occupied by Stelco (the “Lands”) on the southern shore of Hamilton Harbour.

Measuring the Potential Economic Impacts of the Fair Workplaces, Better Jobs Act (Bill 148), 2017

The Fair Workplaces, Better Jobs Act, 2017 (Bill 148) is expected to increase the risks and uncertainties for many Ontario business sectors.

Understanding the Forces Driving the Shelter Affordability Issue: A Linked-path Assessment

Canada’s shelter affordability challenge is complex, rife with data limitations, and poses risks associated with both action and inaction by policymakers. Unfortunately most of the existing commentary is singularly focused, ignoring this complexity and the interrelatedness of factors and behaviours that are actually driving the issue. In this research report, CANCEA applies its “systems approach” and “big data” modeling platform to housing affordability.

Regional Express Rail’s Impact on Housing Affordability in the Greater Golden Horseshoe

Using CANCEA’s award-winning computer platform – Prosperity at Risk (PaR) – and aggregated data from the Toronto Real Estate Board across 773 communities, this report investigates the impacts of transit (and the Regional Express Rail (RER) specifically) on housing affordability in the Greater Golden Horseshoe. Given “affordability” includes more than just housing prices – and must include transportation costs to provide a more complete picture of shelter-related needs – “affordability” is measured using CANCEA’s recognized Shelter Consumption Affordability Ratio (SCAR).

The Economic Impact of Canadian P3 Projects: Why building infrastructure ‘on time' matters

This report brings a fresh approach to analyzing the economic impacts of Canadian public-private partnerships (P3s) and adds to the conversation around P3s by quantifying – beyond the benefits traditionally outlined – the significant economic value from delivering such assets for public use sooner.

Mental Health in the Workplace Research Bulletin: Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area

The Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA), represents 20% of Canada’s economy and has a gross domestic product (GDP) per capita that is 19% greater than the rest of Ontario. As a major role player in bringing together regional leaders to address the most pressing urban challenges in the GTHA, CivicAction is launching its first health-related initiative by focusing on mental health in the GTHA workplace. By increasing awareness and action among the GTHA’s employers and employees, CivicAction hopes to create a GTHA where residents’ mental well-being and productivity are fully realized. As part of the initiative, CANCEA was asked to model the scope of mental health issues in the GTHA labour force using its cutting-edge agent-based modelling platform, Prosperity at Risk.

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