Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis

Recent Publications and Bulletins

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Navigating the COVID-19 Socio-economic Shock

How infrastructure investments will facilitate future growth in Ontario

View a short video summarizing the report's main findings here.

OMERS and its Members: Ontario Economic Contribution

With almost half a million active and retired members, OMERS is one of the largest defined benefit pension plans in Canada. The pension plan contributions of members and employers are invested around the world by OMERS to provide each member with a stable and secure source of retirement income. OMERS investments are found across the globe and in most communities in Ontario. All across the province, Ontarians benefit from the economic activity generated by these investments and by the activities of OMERS pension recipients.

Transportation Pressures in the GTHA

As the leading region for job creation in Ontario over the past decade and home to over half of the provincial population, the GTHA’s prosperity is closely linked to that of Canada. At the heart of the region is the Toronto metropolitan area, which alone generates 52% of Ontario’s GDP. Between 2006 and 2016, the population in the region has grown by 14% and the number of jobs has grown by almost 10%. By 2041, the population is expected to grow by a further 41% to over 10.1 million.

Fort Erie Housing Needs Study

This housing needs study was conducted to provide the Town of Fort Erie with a data-driven basis upon which specific local housing priorities can be developed. Working closely with the Town of Fort Erie, CANCEA provided a database, conducted local stakeholder consultations and delivered a final housing needs report which delivers insight into Fort Erie’s demographic trends and local housing market conditions.

Niagara Region Growth Scenario Analysis, 2018 to 2041

As a follow-on study to the data analysis project relating to Niagara Region's Affordable Housing Strategy, this study provided forecasts of Niagara Region’s future housing stock and population characteristics up to the year 2041 under different growth scenarios. The baseline growth rate was set as the average completion rate over the last five years in Niagara Region, and a slow growth and target growth scenario were developed in collaboration with Niagara Region (the target growth scenario is aligned to Niagara Region’s target population under Places to Grow).

The Impact of Varying Information in the Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Market

Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) are secured by mortgages that qualify under the National Housing Act (NHA) and the Canadian Mortgage Bond (CMB) programs. Over a third of the outstanding mortgage debt is securitized, almost all of which through public securitization programs reaching over $496 billion in 2019. Public securitization does not have credit risk beyond that of the government, as they are all insured by the government.

Opportunities and Risks for Distilled Spirits Manufacturing in Ontario

Distilled spirits manufacturing in Ontario provides significant economic, employment and fiscal benefits to the province. Sales in Ontario support an estimated 30% of the production of distilled spirits locally. Consequently, major changes in the local demand for distilled spirits will impact the margins that local producers earn and thus their fiscal capacity to reinvest in their business.

Calculating the Social Return on Investment for Affordable Housing

The benefits of affordable housing extend beyond the number of units built or households housed; they can include impacts on residents’ health, employment, and access to community amenities. The benefits can contribute to GDP, and have broad social implications for Canada.

Economic Contribution of the Canada Child Benefit: A Basic Income Guarantee for Canadian Families with Children

Since 2016, about $71 billion has been disbursed to the families of over 6.4 million children in Canada through the Canada Child Benefit (CCB), which acts as a basic income guarantee for families with children. The objective of this research is to measure the economic contribution of the CCB to the Canadian economy since 2016. Impacts that are considered include the effect on families and their incomes, as well as the economic contributions in terms of economic indicators such as GDP, employment and government
revenue.

Economic Contributions of Distilled Spirits Manufacturing in Ontario

Ontario’s distillery industry is composed of vertically integrated “grain-to-bottle” manufacturers who source locally grown cereal grains which are then mashed, fermented, distilled and matured on site. The resulting products, distilled spirits, count among the highest value-added goods within the agricultural and processed agri-food sectors. Distilled spirits manufacturers generate economic activity and employment, particularly in rural, agricultural regions.

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