{"id":3028,"date":"2021-11-16T10:36:42","date_gmt":"2021-11-16T15:36:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/?p=3028"},"modified":"2022-11-16T10:38:17","modified_gmt":"2022-11-16T15:38:17","slug":"metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/index.php\/2021\/11\/16\/metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand\/","title":{"rendered":"Metrolinx Inter-region transit demand"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Metrolinx requested CANCEA to investigate the significance and sensitivity of inter-region transit demand in the Greater Golden Horseshoe by 2041 with specific attention to (1) Municipalities reaching P2G population and job targets; (2) Accelerated industry structural changes in remote working habits (eg. made evident by COVID19).<\/p>\n<p><u>General conclusions<\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Transit will continue to play a key role in the GGH even if remote working persists after the pandemic\n<ul>\n<li>Using P2G assumptions:<\/li>\n<li>Peel, Toronto, and Durham would have the greatest increase in people living and working in the same region<\/li>\n<li>Durham shows strong local job growth not seen historically including largest percentage increase in people living and working in the region<\/li>\n<li>Increased commutes from Toronto to surrounding regions, particularly Peel and York. York receiving significant in-commutes from Peel and Durham as well<\/li>\n<li>Growth in cross-commuting between Halton and Peel<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Even with more complete communities, significant increases in people traveling between regions will be required<\/li>\n<li>Some P2G assumptions require very significant deviations from what statistical simulation would suggest. For example:\n<ul>\n<li>Significant shifts from trends in location of dwellings and locations of jobs<\/li>\n<li>Unconstrained mobility of households<\/li>\n<li>Almost 40% increase in the capacity of construction industry to build<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Metrolinx requested CANCEA to investigate the significance and sensitivity of inter-region transit demand in the Greater Golden Horseshoe by 2041 with specific attention to (1) Municipalities reaching P2G population and job targets; (2) Accelerated industry structural changes in remote working habits (eg. made evident by COVID19). General conclusions Transit will continue to play a key &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/index.php\/2021\/11\/16\/metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Metrolinx Inter-region transit demand<\/span> Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":3029,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"categories":[129,101,130,136,124,128,157,116,108,104,140,141,160,131,111,97],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Metrolinx Inter-region transit demand - Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/index.php\/2021\/11\/16\/metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Metrolinx Inter-region transit demand - Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Metrolinx requested CANCEA to investigate the significance and sensitivity of inter-region transit demand in the Greater Golden Horseshoe by 2041 with specific attention to (1) Municipalities reaching P2G population and job targets; (2) Accelerated industry structural changes in remote working habits (eg. made evident by COVID19). General conclusions Transit will continue to play a key &hellip; Metrolinx Inter-region transit demand Read More &raquo;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/index.php\/2021\/11\/16\/metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-11-16T15:36:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-11-16T15:38:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Metrolinx-1.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"713\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"939\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Paul Smetanin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Paul Smetanin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/index.php\/2021\/11\/16\/metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/index.php\/2021\/11\/16\/metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Paul Smetanin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/#\/schema\/person\/c666b713a7851db524a0dffd96669e00\"},\"headline\":\"Metrolinx Inter-region transit demand\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-11-16T15:36:42+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-11-16T15:38:17+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/index.php\/2021\/11\/16\/metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand\/\"},\"wordCount\":198,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Demographic\",\"Demographics\",\"Economic\",\"Forecasting, Scenarios And Sensitivities\",\"Forecasts\",\"Forecasts\",\"Infrastructure\",\"Ontario\",\"Region\",\"Regional\",\"Regional\",\"Regional Growth Risk Management\",\"Risks And Rewards\",\"Scenario Analysis\",\"Service\",\"Topic\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/index.php\/2021\/11\/16\/metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/index.php\/2021\/11\/16\/metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.cancea.ca\/index.php\/2021\/11\/16\/metrolinx-inter-region-transit-demand\/\",\"name\":\"Metrolinx Inter-region transit demand - 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